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‎The High Cost of Nigeria’s Security Crisis

‎The High Cost of Nigeria’s Security Crisis

‎By Raji Farida

‎Insecurity in Nigeria is no longer a distant headline, it is the reality shaping how citizens live, work, and dream. It has become a silent tax on everyday life, eroding opportunities and draining the economy. While the human tragedies are heartbreaking, the economic consequences are equally devastating, and they demand urgent national attention.

‎Agriculture, Nigeria’s largest employer and contributor of roughly 22–25% of GDP, has been crippled by violence. Farmers in Benue, Plateau, Zamfara, and Katsina now abandon fertile lands out of fear of attacks. The result is reduced food production, broken supply chains, and skyrocketing food inflation, 39.93% as of 2025, according to official data. This insecurity-driven disruption is one of the hidden engines of inflation, pushing millions of households deeper into hardship and increasing dependence on food imports.

‎Businesses, too, are suffocating under the weight of insecurity. Small enterprises, the backbone of Nigeria’s economy, spend scarce resources on private security instead of expansion or job creation. Many relocate to safer regions, while others shut down entirely, leaving behind unemployment and weakened local economies. Investors, both local and foreign, are deterred not only by the violence itself but by the perception of instability. Capital flight and declining foreign direct investment are the inevitable outcomes of a country where safety cannot be guaranteed.

‎Education, the foundation of human capital, has suffered devastating blows. More than 1,500 schools have been closed in conflict-affected areas, with hundreds attacked or experiencing mass abductions since insurgency began. The kidnapping of schoolchildren in Oyo State in 2026 was not just a tragedy, it was a chilling reminder of how insecurity undermines confidence in education. Parents hesitate to send their children to school, attendance drops, and learning is disrupted. In the long run, this weakens Nigeria’s skilled workforce, reducing productivity and stunting economic growth.

‎Government finances reveal the staggering cost of insecurity. Since 2010, Nigeria has allocated over ₦30 trillion to defence and security, with ₦5.4 trillion budgeted in 2026 alone. Yet violence persists. This imbalance diverts resources from critical sectors such as healthcare, infrastructure, and youth development. Every naira spent on ransom payments, rebuilding destroyed communities, or expanding military operations is a naira lost to schools, hospitals, and innovation. Insecurity is not just bleeding the treasury, it is starving the nation’s future.

‎The humanitarian toll compounds the economic crisis. By 2024, over 1.3 million Nigerians were internally displaced in the Northcentral and Northwest. Displacement destroys local economies, increases poverty, and overwhelms government and humanitarian agencies. The cycle is vicious: insecurity fuels poverty, and poverty in turn breeds instability. As one businesswoman, Raji Hafsat, lamented, “Many businesses are negatively affected as you can’t travel to buy goods with full assurance of coming back safely.” Her words capture the lived reality of countless Nigerians.

‎The truth is clear: insecurity is not merely a security issue, it is an economic emergency. It undermines productivity, discourages investment, disrupts education, and weakens public finances. Addressing it requires more than military spending. It demands intelligence-led policing, community-based security, youth empowerment, and job creation. Security must be treated as the foundation of economic development, not as a separate concern.

‎Nigeria’s aspiration for inclusive growth, food security, and sustainable development will remain elusive until lasting peace is restored. A secure Nigeria is not only safer for its citizens; it is also better for business, investment, and national prosperity is measured not just in lives lost, but in opportunities wasted and futures denied. If Nigeria is to rise, then insecurity must be tackled as an economic priority.

‎Raji Farida is a 200 Level Student, Department of Development and Strategic Communication,University of Abuja.

Raji Farida

[email protected]

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